Friday, September 16, 2011

Emmy Predictions: Drama

So yesterday I did Comedy, today I'll try my best to predict the Drama categories.

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama
Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire
Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife
Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
Margo Martindale, Justified
Michelle Forbes, The Killing
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men

With two women from the same show, they may be stealing votes from each other, so I don't like either actress from The Good Wife to win. While Kelly Macdonald flourished in a cast full of outstanding male actors Margo Martindale had the performance of her career. Either of these two women could win but I like the Justified actress to give Justified its first Emmy.


Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Josh Charles, The Good Wife
Alan Cummings, The Good Wife
Walton Goggins, Justified
John Slattery, Mad Men
Andrew Braugher, Men of a Certain Age

My heart of hearts wants Peter Dinklage to win for Game of Thrones (I'm still mad that Sean Bean didn't get nominated as a lead actor). The problem is he has some really stiff competition this year. Alan Cummings was outstanding on The Good Wife just as he was last year. John Slattery is terrific year after year, and for it keeps getting nominated year after year. And Walter Goggins is astonishing on Justified (let's face it that whole cast is great). While Slattery is due Alan Cummings had the better performance throughout the season so I think Cummings will win, but I'm still pulling for the honorable Lannister.


Outstanding Actress in a Drama
Kathy Bates, Harry's Law
Connie Britton, Friday Night Lights
Mireille Enos, The Killing
Mariska Hargitay, Law and Order: SVU
Juliana Margulies, The Good Wife
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men

That's right, Harry's Law is still on TV. Oh man NBC is in a bad way. Anyway Juliana Margulies won the award last year, so don't be surprised if she wins again this year. The work is consistent and the show is just as good. But I would argue that Elisabeth Moss deserves the award more. As her character continues to grow and become the brains of the operation her talent becomes more visible. She is at her best when confronting Don and gives Jon Hamm a terrific partner in some of their scenes together. I would argue that Moss had the better year, I'd probably lose but I'd still be willing to put up the fight.


Outstanding Actor in a Drama
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights
Michael C. Hall, Dexter
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Hugh Laurie, House
Timothy Olyphant, Justified

With Breaking Bad not eligible this year because of the late debut that means someone new has to win. Last year all six men had a legitimate claim to the best actor award, this year it is just as difficult to pick whose performance deserve the award. Kyle Chandler should have been nominated earlier than last year as he is great on Friday Night Lights, and since the show is over with this would be a great way to wrap up his tenure. Jon Hamm has been deserving of the award for the past three years but Bryan Cranston has always been a little bit better. With this season of Mad Men being devoted to the question "Who is Don Draper?" it gave him the perfect platform to show off why this show has won best drama the past three years. Steve Buscemi may play the role of Cranston for Hamm this year. Much like Don Draper, Nucky Thompson is one of the main reasons that Boardwalk Empires is so successful. He is perfectly cast in the lead role and can definitely walk away with the trophy, but Hamm has had this coming for too long not to walk away with the statuette tonight. Don Draper for the win.


Outstanding Drama Series
Boardwalk Empire
Dexter
Friday Night Lights
Game of Thrones
The Good Wife
Mad Men

I don't care who wins the award, Game of Thrones was the best show of the year. It took a manuscript that was written in order to be unfilmable and knocked it out of the park. They made bold moves all season, the premiere included a zombies, rape, incest and the killing of a child and by the end not everyone made it out alive, and did things no other show has ever had the cojones to do. But they won't win, the award comes down to a low year for Mad Men and Boardwalk Empires which started strong but tailed off towards the end. But at its worst Mad Men is still a brilliant analysis of a man destined to fail. The writing is always fantastic, the costumes fitting and they know how to make everything look exceptional by this point. Matthew Weiner will win again and this will give Mad Men their fourth straight win in the category.

What do you guys think? Did I get it wrong? Who do you think is gonna win this year. Let me know. And enjoy the show.

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